To make this clear, the committee uses the term safety and security rather than surety throughout the text.Ģ CTBT requires a 6-month delay after invoking the supreme national interest clause before a State could conduct a nuclear-explosion test. Because the technical details of use control exceed the security classification of this report, the committee does not address use-control issues in the report. nuclear weapons policy or impose requirements for new weapons “for the foreseeable future.”ġ The nuclear weapons community uses the term surety as an umbrella term covering safety, security, and use control of nuclear weapons. safeguards, the actions taken by other countries, although not as predictable as our own, will not likely change U.S. Even so, we conclude that with adequate U.S. Thus, we use phrases such as “it is likely that” to leave a healthy margin for such uncertainty (We know what we know, but not necessarily what we do not know). Depending on the country, history shows that this could change over the near term.
#Define stockpile stewardship and its purpose. verification#
On the other hand, in Chapter 4 we present technical constraints imposed by monitoring and verification on actions that other countries might or might not take. nuclear weapons program past, present, and likely alternative futures. This is based on our intimate knowledge of the U.S. In Chapter 1, our use of the phrase “foreseeable future” signifies our assessment that the United States can maintain its existing nuclear weapons with certain safeguards over the long term. Because it is possible that conditions we have not foreseen will arise, it is important that the United States establish and maintain appropriate safeguards and, if necessary, be prepared to exercise the withdrawal provisions under the CTBT’s supreme national interest article.
At the same time, we are not claiming omniscience about an inherently uncertain future.
By this term, we mean that we have been unable to identify future developments that would alter our judgments and recommendations (In some cases, we caveat a specific judgment by noting that it applies only if our recommendations are followed). Throughout this report, we frequently use the phrase “foreseeable future” in making judgments about the future. BOX 1-1 The Committee’s Judgments about the FutureĪ treaty of indefinite duration must be evaluated taking into account possible changes over time.
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